All publications

8 Mar 2024

Comparing the criminal careers of organized crime offenders in Italy and the Netherlands

The concept of organized crime has dynamically evolved, with researchers contending that it is a social construct or an umbrella concept encompassing different empirical manifestations. Scholars have often suggested classifying organized crime groups into those involved in “racketeering” or “governing” and those engaged in “transit crime” or “trading.” However, these…

1 Mar 2024

The resilience of drug trafficking organizations: Simulating the impact of police arresting key roles

This research analyses the resistance and resilience of drug trafficking organizations against law enforcement interventions targeting specific operational roles.

1 Mar 2024

Bid-rigging in public procurement: Cartel strategies and bidding patterns

Bid-rigging harms economies and societies. While existing research has primarily focused on quantifying the economic damages resulting from bid-rigging cartels, there is a relative dearth of studies exploring how firms interact and the specific techniques they use to rig tenders. Our paper examines the bidding behaviours associated with…

6 Feb 2024

Cleaning mafia cash: An empirical analysis of the money laundering behaviour of 2800 Italian criminals

Despite the wide reach of anti-money laundering legislation worldwide and increasing media attention, fostered by journalistic leaks such as Panama Papers, empirical knowledge on how criminals launder their illicit proceeds is still scarce. The few available empirical studies show that money laundering (ML) schemes are often less sophisticated than they are depicted…

7 Nov 2023

Security in Retail in Italy 2023

The report “Security in Retail in Italy, 2023: a study on losses, thefts and security measures” is the result of the study conducted by Crime&tech on shrinkage and security in the retail and large-scale distribution sector, with the support of Checkpoint Systems Italia and in collaboration with Associazione Laboratorio per…

3 Aug 2023

Changing dynamics of drug overdoses in the United Kingdom

An attempt to replicate the Jalal et al. findings of steady exponential growth  …

2 Jun 2023

Inductive and transductive link prediction for criminal network analysis

The identification of potential offenders, who are more likely to form a new group and co-offend in a crime, plays an essential role in narrowing down law enforcement investigations and improving predictive policing. Once a crime is committed, focusing on linking it to previously reported crimes…

31 May 2023

CSABOT – Beneficial Owners of European Companies

The paper “Beneficial Owners of European Companies (and Related Risks)” presents the research conducted by Transcrime, within the CSABOT project, on risk factors and anomaly indicators in the ownership structure of European companies. These indicators are then applied to 4,500 companies owning 505k real estate properties in Paris, mapping the…

19 May 2023

AML Data Sharing

AML Data Sharing: a survey on sharing data for anti-money laundering purposes is the first research conducted in Italy and in Europe on the exchange of information between obliged entities for anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT). The study consulted the 44 main Italian intermediaries (equivalent to…

9 Jan 2023

Places and crime

Understanding, analysing, predicting and managing criminal risks spatially Crime is not distributed randomly across space. A small number of places have the highest concentration of crime because of the presence of particular physical, social or functional characteristics that can facilitate or encourage criminal behaviour. Understanding and analysing the…