Publishing date 19 Apr 2015
Editors Marco Dugato

Stefano Caneppele

Serena Favarin

Martina Rotondi

ISBN 978-88-8443-602-3

Transcrime Research in Brief

Publishing date 19 Apr 2015
Editors Marco Dugato
Stefano Caneppele
Serena Favarin
Martina Rotondi
ISBN 978-88-8443-602-3

01. Predicting burglaries

This research presents a predictive model for burglaries, which is the result of a collaboration between Transcrime and the Ministry of the Interior, Department of Public Security.
On the report the reason why the study of burglaries is relevant, both for Europe and for Italy, is explained. It is also explained how predictive models can help prevent burglaries, with particular attention to the methodology used to commit them. Finally, a predictive model is tested in the cities of Milan, Rome and Bari, formulating hypotheses on the decrease of the phenomenon.

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